Which strategy should governments prioritise after the 2026 carbon budget shows a small fossil-emissions fall but rising total emissions?
RESEARCH LANE
The Global Carbon Project forecasts fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions will fall by about 0.4% in 2026. The forecast puts fossil emissions at 38.2 billion tonnes. The energy shock linked to the war in Iran is one reason for the temporary decline. Growth in renewable energy and electric vehicles also makes a contribution. Total carbon dioxide emissions, including land-use change, are still forecast to rise.